BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alabama St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 94 Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =   57.15

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Home    W    58.69  14  13    2  96 (  6-  5) Miles                   2.72     -1.72                      
  2 09/11/2021 Away    L    34.61   0  62   1A  33 (  6-  6) Auburn                -21.37 *  -40.63                      
  3 09/25/2021 Home    W *  65.21  38  24   1B 109 (  2-  9) Bethune-Cookman         9.24      4.76                      
  4 10/02/2021 Away    L *  45.55   0  28   1B  40 (  9-  3) Florida A&M           -10.43    -17.57                      
  5 10/09/2021 Home    W *  64.06  35  15   1B 122 (  2-  9) Arkansas-Pine Bluff     8.08     11.92                      
  6 10/16/2021 Away    L *  56.36   7  28   1B  27 ( 10-  1) Jackson St              0.38    -21.38                      
  7 10/30/2021 Neutral L *  45.61  28  42   1B  88 (  7-  3) Alabama A&M           -10.37     -3.63                      
  8 11/06/2021 Away    L *  60.27  20  24   1B  70 (  7-  4) Prairie View A&M        4.30     -8.30                      
  9 11/13/2021 Away    L *  42.51  31  44   1B 112 (  4-  7) Mississippi Valley S  -13.47      0.47                      
 10 11/20/2021 Home    W *  56.12  24  21   1B 104 (  3-  8) Texas Southern          0.14      2.86                      
 11 11/25/2021 Home    W    77.11  43   9    2 137 (  3-  8) Tuskegee               21.13     12.87                      
      Averages              55.10  21.8 28.2

Best game:   77.11 = 34 point win over Tuskegee
Worst game:  34.61 = 62 point loss to Auburn
Team stdev:  12.12